Thinking in Bets : Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts - Annie Duke - Marjane Mall - Image 1
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Thinking in Bets : Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts - Annie Duke

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Marque : GENERIC
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Dans cet ouvrage captivant, Annie Duke, ancienne championne de poker devenue consultante en stratégie, vous apprend à naviguer dans l'incertitude pour prendre de meilleures décisions. En s'appuyant sur des exemples issus du sport, du monde des affaires et de la politique, l'auteure explique comment abandonner la quête d'une certitude illusoire pour...

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Description produit

Marque
GENERIC
Titre
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Éditeur
Portfolio
Type de produit
Paperback
Présentation du livre
Paperback
Date de sortie
5/7/2019 12:00:00 AM
Langue d'origine
English
ISBN
735216371
Nombre de pages
288 pages
Langue
English
Résumé
NATIONAL BESTSELLER • Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result in “the ultimate guide to thinking about risk” (Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit). “A big favorite among investors these days.”—The New York Times“Outstanding.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street JournalIn Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know
Auteur
Annie Duke
Date de parution
5/7/2019 12:00:00 AM